DAX Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.0115	1.35
βGARCH	0.8130	49.31***
γleverage	0.1640	10.60***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0092	2.43**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0421	4.75***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9538	99.22***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0115	1.35
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8130	49.31***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1640	10.60***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0092	2.43**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0421	4.75***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9538	99.22***

V-Lab

Deutsche Borse TecDAX Total Return Selection Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

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