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Deutsche Borse TecDAX Total Return Selection Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

17.78%

increased by 0.89%

1 Week

18.12%

increased by 1.23%

1 Month

19.25%

increased by 2.36%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse TecDAX Total Return Selection Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 1999 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 62% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0543
8.25***
αARCH0.1578
8.36***
βGARCH0.7697
65.07***
γleverage0.0983
3.49***

0.977

Persistence

29d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0543
8.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1578
8.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7697
65.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0983
3.49***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days