Deutsche Borse TecDAX Total Return Selection Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
17.78%
increased by 0.89%
1 Week
18.12%
increased by 1.23%
1 Month
19.25%
increased by 2.36%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 1999 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 62% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0543 | 8.25*** |
| αARCH | 0.1578 | 8.36*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7697 | 65.07*** |
| γleverage | 0.0983 | 3.49*** |
0.977
Persistence29d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0543 | 8.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1578 | 8.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7697 | 65.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0983 | 3.49*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
Other Deutsche Borse TecDAX Total Return Selection Index Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equity Indices