V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
18.18%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
18.28%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
18.68%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:55 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 194% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 194% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0235 | 3.75*** |
| αARCH | 0.0310 | 4.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9271 | 124.06*** |
| γleverage | 0.0601 | 3.30*** |
0.988
Persistence58d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0235 | 3.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0310 | 4.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9271 | 124.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0601 | 3.30*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
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