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V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

21.19%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Week

21.22%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

21.34%

decreased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0233
14.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0306
16.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9274
497.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0607
13.28***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days