V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
21.19%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
21.22%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Month
21.34%
decreased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0233 | 14.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0306 | 16.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9274 | 497.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0607 | 13.28*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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