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Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

17.34%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

17.48%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

17.96%

increased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 195% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0235
3.75***
αARCH0.0310
4.21***
βGARCH0.9270
123.97***
γleverage0.0603
3.30***

0.988

Persistence

58d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0235
3.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0310
4.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9270
123.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0603
3.30***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days