Skip to main content
V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

18.29%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

18.40%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

18.78%

decreased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0234
14.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0309
16.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9272
495.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0603
13.21***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days