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V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

24.94%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

24.89%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

24.69%

decreased by 1.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0233
14.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0309
16.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9272
496.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0606
13.25***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days