Procter & Gamble Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
24.94%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Week
24.89%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Month
24.69%
decreased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0233 | 14.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0309 | 16.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9272 | 496.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0606 | 13.25*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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