Huron Consulting Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
34.12%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Week
34.45%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
35.53%
increased by 1.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2004 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1781 | 2.44** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9477 | 63.83*** |
| γleverage | 0.0476 | 3.10*** |
0.971
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1781 | 2.44** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9477 | 63.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0476 | 3.10*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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