International Business Machines Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026
1 Day
27.00%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Week
27.05%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Month
27.22%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 115% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0436 | 3.61*** |
| αARCH | 0.0314 | 4.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9371 | 111.60*** |
| γleverage | 0.0363 | 2.16** |
0.987
Persistence52d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0436 | 3.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0314 | 4.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9371 | 111.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0363 | 2.16** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
Other International Business Machines Corp Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities