V-Lab
AIM ImmunoTech Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
87.26%
decreased by 2.85%
1 Week
90.48%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
97.63%
increased by 7.52%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.8568 | 5.55*** |
| αARCH | 0.2334 | 5.71*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6727 | 20.54*** |
| γleverage | 0.0145 | 0.17 |
0.913
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8568 | 5.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2334 | 5.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6727 | 20.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0145 | 0.17 |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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