VenHub Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
102.01%
decreased by 15.11%
1 Week
109.86%
decreased by 7.26%
1 Month
131.46%
increased by 14.34%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.09 |
| αARCH | 0.3138 | 1.40 |
| βGARCH | 0.6647 | 5.68*** |
| γleverage | -0.0331 | -0.08 |
0.962
Persistence18d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3138 | 1.40 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6647 | 5.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0331 | -0.08 |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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