V-Lab
VenHub Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
104.24%
increased by 29.39%
1 Week
113.18%
increased by 38.33%
1 Month
139.46%
increased by 64.61%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.04 |
| αARCH | 0.3401 | 1.36 |
| βGARCH | 0.6459 | 5.16*** |
| γleverage | -0.0207 | -0.05 |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.04 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3401 | 1.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6459 | 5.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0207 | -0.05 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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