V-Lab
VenHub Global Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
99.87%
decreased by 12.86%
1 Week
108.63%
decreased by 4.10%
1 Month
133.21%
increased by 20.48%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.09 |
| αARCH | 0.3334 | 1.42 |
| βGARCH | 0.6558 | 5.44*** |
| γleverage | -0.0421 | -0.10 |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3334 | 1.42 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6558 | 5.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0421 | -0.10 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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