V-Lab
VenHub Global Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
93.06%
decreased by 2.03%
1 Week
105.36%
increased by 10.27%
1 Month
143.52%
increased by 48.43%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 170 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3660 | 8.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6299 | 24.61*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
170 days
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