V-Lab
Big Sky Industrial Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
61.73%
decreased by 2.29%
1 Week
63.48%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Month
69.35%
increased by 5.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7074 | 18.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1003 | 29.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8821 | 222.09*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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