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Big Sky Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

68.44%

decreased by 3.14%

1 Week

69.34%

decreased by 2.24%

1 Month

72.44%

increased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.02 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 40-day half-lifev = 4.02 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst33.2183
1.26
αARCH0.0893
9.73***
βGARCH0.9830
72.93***
νDF4.0156
3.87***

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

33.2183
1.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0893
9.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9830
72.93***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0156
3.87***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days