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Big Sky Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

45.34%

decreased by 2.65%

1 Week

47.33%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Month

53.96%

increased by 5.97%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.91 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-lifev = 4.91 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run36.9443
1.39
αscore0.1017
10.36***
βpersistence0.9857
93.81***
νDF4.9125
3.42***

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

36.9443
1.39
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1017
10.36***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9857
93.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.9125
3.42***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days