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Big Sky Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

66.08%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

67.08%

increased by 1.04%

1 Month

70.53%

increased by 4.49%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.02 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-lifev = 4.02 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst33.1498
1.27
αARCH0.0889
9.73***
βGARCH0.9831
73.31***
νDF4.0189
3.86***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

33.1498
1.27
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0889
9.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9831
73.31***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0189
3.86***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days