Niki BioSolutions Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
140.03%
decreased by 30.36%
1 Week
142.05%
decreased by 28.34%
1 Month
148.93%
decreased by 21.46%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-lifev = 2.68 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 137.2394 | 0.75 |
| αscore | 0.1756 | 13.28*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9798 | 38.54*** |
| νDF | 2.6786 | 12.88*** |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 137.2394 | 0.75 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1756 | 13.28*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9798 | 38.54*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.6786 | 12.88*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
Other Niki BioSolutions Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities