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Niki BioSolutions Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

140.03%

decreased by 30.36%

1 Week

142.05%

decreased by 28.34%

1 Month

148.93%

decreased by 21.46%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-lifev = 2.68 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run137.2394
0.75
αscore0.1756
13.28***
βpersistence0.9798
38.54***
νDF2.6786
12.88***

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

137.2394
0.75
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1756
13.28***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9798
38.54***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.6786
12.88***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days