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Niki BioSolutions Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

124.31%

increased by 10.20%

1 Week

126.83%

increased by 12.72%

1 Month

135.54%

increased by 21.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 43-day half-lifev = 2.51 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst141.6074
0.84
αARCH0.1401
15.76***
βGARCH0.9841
56.00***
νDF2.5059
19.72***

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

141.6074
0.84
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1401
15.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9841
56.00***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5059
19.72***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days