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Keel Infrastructure Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

91.87%

increased by 0.86%

1 Week

93.53%

increased by 2.52%

1 Month

97.49%

increased by 6.48%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 7.65 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst41.8609
2.36**
αARCH0.0459
1.39
βGARCH0.9209
16.52***
νDF7.6537
0.17

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

41.8609
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0459
1.39
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9209
16.52***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.6537
0.17

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days