Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Keel Infrastructure Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

95.62%

decreased by 1.41%

1 Week

96.70%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

99.24%

increased by 2.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 8.81 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run42.8162
2.84***
αscore0.0452
1.51
βpersistence0.9156
16.67***
νDF8.8074
0.14

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

42.8162
2.84***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0452
1.51
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9156
16.67***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.8074
0.14

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days