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Keel Infrastructure Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

98.79%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Week

99.43%

decreased by 0.96%

1 Month

100.98%

increased by 0.59%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.63 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 7.63 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst42.1960
2.31**
αARCH0.0450
1.34
βGARCH0.9216
16.27***
νDF7.6318
0.17

0.922

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

42.1960
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0450
1.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9216
16.27***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.6318
0.17

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

8 days