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V-Lab

Keel Infrastructure Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

87.61%

decreased by 4.47%

1 Week

80.02%

decreased by 12.06%

1 Month

60.42%

decreased by 31.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 0.62 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-lifeδ = 0.62 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0438
1.34
αARCH0.2208
8.68***
βGARCH0.7772
28.61***
γleverage-0.0272
-0.69
δpower0.6189
0.92

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0438
1.34
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2208
8.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7772
28.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0272
-0.69
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6189
0.92

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days