V-Lab
Boost Run Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
107.50%
1 Week
95.13%
1 Month
68.13%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 100% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0776 | 5.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2864 | 7.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7136 | 19.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5984 | -7.26*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 9.68*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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