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V-Lab

Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

134.99%

decreased by 18.78%

1 Week

134.07%

decreased by 19.70%

1 Month

130.50%

decreased by 23.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~101 daysv = 3.42 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run0.2911
2.05**
αscore0.1858
9.01***
βpersistence0.9932
245.10***
νDF3.4214
10.77***

0.993

Persistence

101d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

0.2911
2.05**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1858
9.01***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9932
245.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4214
10.77***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days