V-Lab
Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
150.78%
increased by 19.98%
1 Week
149.27%
increased by 18.47%
1 Month
143.47%
increased by 12.67%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-lifev = 2.17 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4259 | 1.89* |
| αARCH | 0.1802 | 12.58*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9897 | 189.21*** |
| νDF | 2.1661 | 148.52*** |
0.990
Persistence67d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4259 | 1.89* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1802 | 12.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9897 | 189.21*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.1661 | 148.52*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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