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V-Lab

Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

150.78%

increased by 19.98%

1 Week

149.27%

increased by 18.47%

1 Month

143.47%

increased by 12.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-lifev = 2.17 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4259
1.89*
αARCH0.1802
12.58***
βGARCH0.9897
189.21***
νDF2.1661
148.52***

0.990

Persistence

67d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4259
1.89*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1802
12.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9897
189.21***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1661
148.52***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days