Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
134.99%
1 Week
134.07%
1 Month
130.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 0.2911 | 2.05** |
| αscore | 0.1858 | 9.01*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9932 | 245.10*** |
| νDF | 3.4214 | 10.77*** |
0.993
Persistence101d
Half-lifeGAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 0.2911 | 2.05** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1858 | 9.01*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9932 | 245.10*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.4214 | 10.77*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
101 days
Other Boost Run Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities