V-Lab
Boost Run Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
328.98%
decreased by 102.79%
1 Week
325.60%
decreased by 106.17%
1 Month
312.69%
decreased by 119.08%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.07 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.07 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.2169 | 1.88* |
| αARCH | 0.1783 | 12.53*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9896 | 186.69*** |
| νDF | 2.0671 | 369.73*** |
0.990
Persistence66d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.2169 | 1.88* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1783 | 12.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9896 | 186.69*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0671 | 369.73*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
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