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Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

60.71%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

63.36%

increased by 1.04%

1 Month

68.48%

increased by 6.16%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 24.99 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 24.99 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst21.1611
2.95***
αARCH0.1000
0.67
βGARCH0.8882
6.72***
νDF24.9867
0.03

0.888

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.1611
2.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1000
0.67
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8882
6.72***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

24.9867
0.03

Persistence:

0.888

Half-life:

6 days