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Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

79.60%

increased by 7.88%

1 Week

78.17%

increased by 6.45%

1 Month

75.50%

increased by 3.78%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 24.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 24.09 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst21.3187
3.10***
αARCH0.0799
0.52
βGARCH0.8667
4.90***
νDF24.0887
0.03

0.867

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.3187
3.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0799
0.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8667
4.90***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

24.0887
0.03

Persistence:

0.867

Half-life:

5 days