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Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

71.44%

decreased by 1.84%

1 Week

71.43%

decreased by 1.85%

1 Month

71.42%

decreased by 1.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 34.50 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 34.50 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run21.1661
3.83***
αscore0.0419
0.23
βpersistence0.8242
1.68*
νDF34.4960
0.01

0.824

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

21.1661
3.83***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0419
0.23
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8242
1.68*
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

34.4960
0.01

Persistence:

0.824

Half-life:

4 days