V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
62.42%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Week
65.08%
increased by 1.95%
1 Month
69.91%
increased by 6.78%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 28.93 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 21.6287 | 3.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0803 | 0.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8767 | 5.00*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 28.9250 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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