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V-Lab

Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

62.42%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

65.08%

increased by 1.95%

1 Month

69.91%

increased by 6.78%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 28.93 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.6287
3.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0803
0.54
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8767
5.00***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

28.9250
0.02

Persistence:

0.877

Half-life:

5 days