V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
76.48%
increased by 0.30%
1 Week
76.06%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
75.07%
decreased by 1.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9861 | 3.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0681 | 1.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8475 | 3.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1084 | -0.04 |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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