V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
79.42%
increased by 7.32%
1 Week
77.88%
increased by 5.78%
1 Month
75.06%
increased by 2.96%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0014 | 4.33*** |
| αARCH | 0.0822 | 1.22 |
| βGARCH | 0.7780 | 3.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0185 | -0.02 |
0.860
Persistence5d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0014 | 4.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0822 | 1.22 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7780 | 3.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0185 | -0.02 |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
Other Buda Juice Inc Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities