V-Lab
Trulieve Cannabis Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
50.33%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
50.32%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
50.32%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0993 | 2.55** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8746 | 2.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 7.9724 | 0.77 |
0.875
Persistence5d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0993 | 2.55** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8746 | 2.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 7.9724 | 0.77 |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
Other Trulieve Cannabis Corp Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities