Trulieve Cannabis Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
66.94%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
66.65%
decreased by 0.45%
1 Month
65.80%
decreased by 1.30%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3197 | 0.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9514 | 0.05 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 136.4062 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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