V-Lab
Intel Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
75.91%
increased by 3.83%
1 Week
74.90%
increased by 2.82%
1 Month
71.76%
decreased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9610 | 9.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0526 | 5.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9037 | 56.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.0141 | -0.62 |
| γ2 | 0.0528 | 1.42 |
| γ3 | -0.1129 | -3.73*** |
| γ4 | 0.1278 | 4.12*** |
| γ5 | -0.0806 | -2.70*** |
| γ6 | 0.0638 | 1.83* |
| γ7 | -0.0316 | -0.74 |
| γ8 | -0.0295 | -0.88 |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
16 days
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