V-Lab
Intel Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
64.69%
decreased by 1.36%
1 Week
64.56%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Month
64.16%
decreased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9514 | 9.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0525 | 5.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9040 | 57.22*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.0143 | -0.63 |
| γ2 | 0.0520 | 1.41 |
| γ3 | -0.1113 | -3.68*** |
| γ4 | 0.1266 | 4.09*** |
| γ5 | -0.0800 | -2.70*** |
| γ6 | 0.0640 | 1.86* |
| γ7 | -0.0329 | -0.78 |
| γ8 | -0.0282 | -0.84 |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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