V-Lab
Intel Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
55.29%
increased by 1.39%
1 Week
55.25%
increased by 1.35%
1 Month
55.12%
increased by 1.22%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 109 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 36% more than positive returns
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0691 | 7.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1554 | 11.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8107 | 90.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0552 | 2.62*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
109 days
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