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V-Lab

Chevron Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

21.18%

increased by 0.78%

1 Week

21.41%

increased by 1.01%

1 Month

22.13%

increased by 1.73%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chevron Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 45% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0797
9.04***
αARCH0.1596
10.33***
βGARCH0.7709
66.01***
γleverage0.0719
2.61***

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0797
9.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1596
10.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7709
66.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0719
2.61***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days