V-Lab
AT&T Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
29.41%
increased by 0.27%
1 Week
29.34%
increased by 0.20%
1 Month
29.10%
decreased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 33% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 33% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0476 | 7.99*** |
| αARCH | 0.1484 | 10.04*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8109 | 74.46*** |
| γleverage | 0.0491 | 2.23** |
0.984
Persistence43d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0476 | 7.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1484 | 10.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8109 | 74.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0491 | 2.23** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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