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Procter & Gamble Co/The Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

17.36%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

17.57%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

18.34%

increased by 0.54%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 56% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0348
7.27***
αARCH0.1386
10.63***
βGARCH0.8060
77.96***
γleverage0.0782
3.12***

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0348
7.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1386
10.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8060
77.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0782
3.12***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days