V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
24.35%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
24.31%
decreased by 1.30%
1 Month
24.20%
decreased by 1.41%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0345 | 28.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1390 | 42.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8062 | 310.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0775 | 12.35*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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