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V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

24.35%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

24.31%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Month

24.20%

decreased by 1.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0345
28.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1390
42.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8062
310.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0775
12.35***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days