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V-Lab

Ford Motor Co Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

28.18%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Week

28.64%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

30.21%

increased by 1.70%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1154
6.52***
αARCH0.1530
10.66***
βGARCH0.8087
77.37***
γleverage0.0372
1.60

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1154
6.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1530
10.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8087
77.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0372
1.60

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days