Ford Motor Co Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
28.18%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
28.64%
increased by 0.13%
1 Month
30.21%
increased by 1.70%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1154 | 6.52*** |
| αARCH | 0.1530 | 10.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8087 | 77.37*** |
| γleverage | 0.0372 | 1.60 |
0.980
Persistence35d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1154 | 6.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1530 | 10.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8087 | 77.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0372 | 1.60 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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