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V-Lab

Ford Motor Co APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

34.00%

decreased by 2.32%

1 Week

34.37%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Month

35.72%

decreased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Ford Motor Co APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 24% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.81 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0385
15.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
32.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9206
345.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1306
5.99***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.8093
18.55***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days