Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

27.07%

decreased by 1.41%

1 Week

27.29%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Month

28.10%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 259% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.09 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 259% more than positive returnsδ = 1.09 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0321
5.63***
αARCH0.0725
7.94***
βGARCH0.9275
104.38***
γleverage0.5280
6.18***
δpower1.0872
8.38***

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0321
5.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0725
7.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9275
104.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5280
6.18***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0872
8.38***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days