Home Depot Inc/The Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
33.89%
increased by 0.11%
1 Week
31.59%
decreased by 2.19%
1 Month
25.47%
decreased by 8.31%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 24% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.78 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0419 | 27.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1964 | 72.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7920 | 290.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1357 | 26.73*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7793 | 20.81*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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