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V-Lab

Contextlogic Holdings Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

47.68%

increased by 6.86%

1 Week

45.66%

increased by 4.84%

1 Month

40.39%

decreased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Contextlogic Holdings Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 17% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.79 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 17% more than positive returnsδ = 0.79 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1037
1.99**
αARCH0.2465
8.21***
βGARCH0.7423
23.14***
γleverage0.0973
2.12**
δpower0.7888
1.98**

0.938

Persistence

11d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1037
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2465
8.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7423
23.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0973
2.12**
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7888
1.98**

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days