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V-Lab

Contextlogic Holdings Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

28.94%

decreased by 4.15%

1 Week

29.13%

decreased by 3.96%

1 Month

29.65%

decreased by 3.44%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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graph of Contextlogic Holdings Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 16% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.76 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1027
7.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2456
32.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7422
89.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0967
8.09***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7634
7.59***

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days