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V-Lab

Chevron Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

24.25%

decreased by 2.53%

1 Week

23.33%

decreased by 3.45%

1 Month

20.85%

decreased by 5.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chevron Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.23 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0645
29.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2053
72.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7689
244.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1098
24.65***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2262
26.15***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days