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Applied Materials Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

77.61%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

74.06%

decreased by 3.78%

1 Month

62.84%

decreased by 15.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Applied Materials Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.99 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 20% more than positive returnsδ = 0.99 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0359
4.02***
αARCH0.1512
17.41***
βGARCH0.8482
96.11***
γleverage0.0927
4.18***
δpower0.9947
5.07***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0359
4.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1512
17.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8482
96.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0927
4.18***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9947
5.07***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days