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Ford Motor Co Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

42.31%

decreased by 5.80%

1 Week

39.14%

decreased by 8.97%

1 Month

31.08%

decreased by 17.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. The volatility power δ = 0.67 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifeδ = 0.67 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0530
4.93***
αARCH0.1939
17.76***
βGARCH0.7894
65.34***
γleverage0.0597
2.52**
δpower0.6669
4.29***

0.945

Persistence

12d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0530
4.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1939
17.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7894
65.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0597
2.52**
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6669
4.29***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days