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V-Lab

Ford Motor Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

42.60%

increased by 1.67%

1 Week

41.27%

increased by 0.34%

1 Month

39.37%

decreased by 1.56%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0994
25.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7252
63.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0307
5.08***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0134
2.42**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0165
4.45***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9811
218.89***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days