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V-Lab

Ford Motor Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

33.42%

increased by 0.74%

1 Week

35.07%

increased by 2.39%

1 Month

37.36%

increased by 4.68%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0989
25.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7254
63.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0309
5.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0134
2.41**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0165
4.42***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9810
217.04***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days