V-Lab
Ford Motor Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
33.80%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
35.18%
increased by 1.10%
1 Month
37.09%
increased by 3.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0989 | 25.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7262 | 63.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0308 | 5.10*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0134 | 2.42** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0165 | 4.44*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9811 | 218.55*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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