V-Lab
Ford Motor Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
42.60%
increased by 1.67%
1 Week
41.27%
increased by 0.34%
1 Month
39.37%
decreased by 1.56%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0994 | 25.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7252 | 63.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0307 | 5.08*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0134 | 2.42** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0165 | 4.45*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9811 | 218.89*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
Other Ford Motor Co Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities