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V-Lab

Smart Powerr Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

193.73%

decreased by 15.52%

1 Week

254.94%

increased by 45.69%

1 Month

351.32%

increased by 142.07%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Smart Powerr Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 4, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3159
16.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2417
11.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0410
1.14
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.7390
0.70
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2645
0.96
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6591
1.66*

Persistence:

0.578

Half-life:

1 days