V-Lab
Smart Powerr Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
276.22%
decreased by 118.47%
1 Week
313.30%
decreased by 81.39%
1 Month
382.96%
decreased by 11.73%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 4, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3186 | 16.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2419 | 11.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0380 | 1.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.6956 | 0.71 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2655 | 0.97 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6599 | 1.69* |
Persistence:
0.580
Half-life:
1 days
Other Smart Powerr Corp Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities