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V-Lab

Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

109.37%

decreased by 2.08%

1 Week

115.00%

increased by 3.55%

1 Month

117.63%

increased by 6.18%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 134% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1512
6.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4692
2.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0866
-2.36**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1196
0.09
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7187
0.20

Persistence:

0.577

Half-life:

1 days