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V-Lab

Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

120.97%

decreased by 1.44%

1 Week

129.59%

increased by 7.18%

1 Month

130.15%

increased by 7.74%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 120% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1506
6.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4713
2.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0821
-2.15**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1242
0.09
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7163
0.20

Persistence:

0.581

Half-life:

1 days