Skip to main content
V-Lab

McDonald's Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

20.56%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

20.81%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Month

21.20%

decreased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of McDonald's Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0238
9.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7770
57.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1139
21.35***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0083
1.99**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0241
2.54**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9716
95.48***

Persistence:

0.858

Half-life:

5 days