CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	26
αARCH	0.0230	2.29**
βGARCH	0.7784	23.79***
γleverage	0.1118	5.80***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0084	2.34**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0244	3.74***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9713	145.53***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	26
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0230	2.29**
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7784	23.79***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1118	5.80***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0084	2.34**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0244	3.74***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9713	145.53***

V-Lab

McDonald's Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other McDonald's Corp Analyses