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V-Lab

MindForge Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

253.78%

decreased by 18.12%

1 Week

250.80%

decreased by 21.10%

1 Month

240.22%

decreased by 31.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1163
10.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8622
57.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0013
-0.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

117.7641

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days