V-Lab
MindForge Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
208.32%
decreased by 5.90%
1 Week
207.08%
decreased by 7.14%
1 Month
202.65%
decreased by 11.57%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 29, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1071 | 10.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8687 | 64.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0076 | 0.31 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 120.9015 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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