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V-Lab

MindForge Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

208.32%

decreased by 5.90%

1 Week

207.08%

decreased by 7.14%

1 Month

202.65%

decreased by 11.57%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1071
10.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8687
64.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0076
0.31
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

120.9015

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days