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V-Lab

Jaguar Uranium Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

18.14%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

138.14%

increased by 119.79%

1 Month

3,103,375.13%

increased by 3,103,356.78%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Jaguar Uranium Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9762
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0008
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0064
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days