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V-Lab

Semilux International Ltd -Redh MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

417.00%

increased by 13.22%

1 Week

416.87%

increased by 13.09%

1 Month

424.94%

increased by 21.16%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0156
0.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8460
49.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1494
2.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.2175
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

11 days