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V-Lab

Semilux International Ltd -Redh MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

2,194.27%

decreased by 212.92%

1 Week

2,271.16%

decreased by 136.03%

1 Month

2,808.38%

increased by 401.19%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0408
2.57**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8060
38.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2565
5.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.82
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3578
0.33
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6422
0.67

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days