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V-Lab

Semilux International Ltd -Redh MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

2,200.52%

decreased by 256.63%

1 Week

2,273.80%

decreased by 183.35%

1 Month

2,838.84%

increased by 381.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0611
3.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7791
29.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2947
5.48***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1527
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8473
1.42

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

55 days