V-Lab
Boost Run Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
67.42%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
67.43%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Month
67.46%
decreased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 63-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1737 | 3.75*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8440 | 26.35*** |
| γleverage | -0.0572 | -0.55 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 18.2486 |
0.989
Persistence63d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1737 | 3.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8440 | 26.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0572 | -0.55 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 18.2486 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
63 days
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