V-Lab
Boost Run Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
77.04%
1 Week
77.30%
1 Month
77.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1722 | 10.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9019 | 136.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1722 | -6.28*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1960 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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