V-Lab
Boost Run Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
96.34%
decreased by 7.48%
1 Week
95.81%
decreased by 8.01%
1 Month
93.82%
decreased by 10.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 65-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1719 | 3.70*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8524 | 26.19*** |
| γleverage | -0.0699 | -0.63 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 17.7085 |
0.989
Persistence65d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1719 | 3.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8524 | 26.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0699 | -0.63 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 17.7085 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
Other Boost Run Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities