V-Lab
Boost Run Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
139.12%
decreased by 7.19%
1 Week
139.42%
decreased by 6.89%
1 Month
151.73%
increased by 5.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0914 | 2.51** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8849 | 64.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0170 | 0.32 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.2336 | 0.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9942 | 0.37 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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