Boost Run Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
138.58%
decreased by 4.35%
1 Week
147.54%
increased by 4.61%
1 Month
163.24%
increased by 20.31%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0807 | 2.80*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9067 | 40.14*** |
| γleverage | -0.0120 | -0.20 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3.7372 | 2.51** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 1.0000 | 3.75*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.981
Persistence37d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0807 | 2.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9067 | 40.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0120 | -0.20 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.7372 | 2.51** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 3.75*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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