V-Lab
NextBoat Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
47.38%
decreased by 2.49%
1 Week
46.94%
decreased by 2.93%
1 Month
47.15%
decreased by 2.72%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0055 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8480 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1428 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0124 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0891 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8738 |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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