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V-Lab
V-Lab

NextBoat Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.30%

increased by 3.62%

1 Week

35,388,739.57%

increased by 35,388,707.89%

1 Month

435,453,556,650,993,500,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 435,453,556,650,993,500,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:42 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of NextBoat Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0000
0.03
βGARCH0.6552
260.52***
γleverage0.5000
144.13***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.4716
19.12***
λ₃tau persistence0.0028
0.09

0.905

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6552
260.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
144.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4716
19.12***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0028
0.09

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days