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V-Lab

NextBoat Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

47.38%

decreased by 2.49%

1 Week

46.94%

decreased by 2.93%

1 Month

47.15%

decreased by 2.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of NextBoat Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0055
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8480
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1428
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0124
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0891
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8738

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days