Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
4,383.77%
1 Week
4,402.06%
1 Month
4,479.43%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2020 to Oct 20, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 521 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 111 | |
| αARCH | 0.0777 | 2.36** |
| βGARCH | 0.8516 | 17.28*** |
| γleverage | 0.1388 | 1.08 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.28 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0076 | 0.16 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9869 | 15.49*** |
0.999
Persistence521d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0777 | 2.36** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8516 | 17.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1388 | 1.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.28 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0076 | 0.16 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9869 | 15.49*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
521 days
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