V-Lab
Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,766.88%
1 Week
4,752.60%
1 Month
4,696.31%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 220 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0968 | 5.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6553 | 33.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4894 | 7.71*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 4.96*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9965 | 848.81*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
220 days
Other Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities