V-Lab
Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
3,563.81%
decreased by 1,506.15%
1 Week
3,566.61%
decreased by 1,503.35%
1 Month
3,567.55%
decreased by 1,502.41%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2020 to Oct 5, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3427 | 7.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.1878 | 2.22** |
| βGARCH | 0.1645 | 1.26 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 1.1362 | 3.14*** |
| γ2 | -1.5766 | -2.71*** |
| γ3 | 1.2601 | 2.33** |
| γ4 | -2.8057 | -4.66*** |
| γ5 | 8.7305 | 11.58*** |
0.352
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3427 | 7.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1878 | 2.22** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1645 | 1.26 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 1.1362 | 3.14*** |
| γ2 | -1.5766 | -2.71*** |
| γ3 | 1.2601 | 2.33** |
| γ4 | -2.8057 | -4.66*** |
| γ5 | 8.7305 | 11.58*** |
Persistence:
0.352
Half-life:
1 days
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