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Versamet Royalties Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

33.12%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

80.64%

increased by 47.40%

1 Month

1,431.33%

increased by 1,398.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Versamet Royalties Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.5000
12.79***
βGARCH0.0000
0.02
γleverage-0.5000
-12.93***
λ₁tau intercept0.3907
3.80***
λ₂forecast adj.0.5590
23.64***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
12.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.02
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-12.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3907
3.80***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5590
23.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days