V-Lab
Versamet Royalties Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
33.12%
1 Week
80.64%
1 Month
1,431.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 41 | |
| αARCH | 0.5000 | 12.79*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
| γleverage | -0.5000 | -12.93*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.3907 | 3.80*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.5590 | 23.64*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.250
Persistence1d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 12.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -12.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3907 | 3.80*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5590 | 23.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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