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V-Lab

Versamet Royalties Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

18.13%

decreased by 1.38%

1 Week

25.11%

increased by 5.60%

1 Month

196.62%

increased by 177.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Versamet Royalties Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9675
18.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0649
1.73*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0005
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0056
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0013
0.01

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-