V-Lab
Versamet Royalties Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
25.02%
1 Week
349,487,809.23%
1 Month
162,218,593,262,301,480,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 61 | |
| αARCH | 0.5007 | 96.08*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0561 | 112.43*** |
| γleverage | -0.5000 | -92.97*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.3558 | 21.21*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
0.307
Persistence1d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5007 | 96.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0561 | 112.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -92.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3558 | 21.21*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.307
Half-life:
1 days
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