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V-Lab

General Mills Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

29.82%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Week

29.50%

decreased by 2.43%

1 Month

29.67%

decreased by 2.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of General Mills Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0781
18.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6608
33.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0360
5.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0343
1.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0785
1.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9006
10.73***

Persistence:

0.757

Half-life:

2 days