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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

27.78%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

27.88%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Month

28.11%

decreased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 138% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0520
17.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8154
114.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0719
12.07***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0293
1.73*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0327
2.23**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9570
47.31***

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days