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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

30.51%

increased by 6.54%

1 Week

30.18%

increased by 6.21%

1 Month

29.57%

increased by 5.60%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 136% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0530
17.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8137
113.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0723
12.07***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0293
1.74*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0329
2.25**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9569
47.56***

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days