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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

28.02%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

28.15%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Month

28.57%

decreased by 0.61%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 135% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0525
17.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8156
114.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0709
11.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0290
1.74*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0327
2.25**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9572
47.89***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days