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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

24.75%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

24.89%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

25.36%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0537
2.40**
αARCH0.1512
11.26***
βGARCH0.8322
84.73***

0.983

Persistence

42d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0537
2.40**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1512
11.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8322
84.73***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

42 days