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V-Lab
V-Lab

Microsoft Corp MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

24.48%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

24.87%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Month

26.20%

increased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0876
1.97**
αARCH0.2090
12.22***
βGARCH0.7707
69.85***

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0876
1.97**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2090
12.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7707
69.85***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days