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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.12%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

25.35%

increased by 0.29%

1 Month

26.17%

increased by 1.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0643
2.77***
αARCH0.1765
12.64***
βGARCH0.8073
71.52***

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0643
2.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1765
12.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8073
71.52***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days