Walt Disney Co/The MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.12%
increased by 0.06%
1 Week
25.35%
increased by 0.29%
1 Month
26.17%
increased by 1.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0643 | 2.77*** |
| αARCH | 0.1765 | 12.64*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8073 | 71.52*** |
0.984
Persistence42d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0643 | 2.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1765 | 12.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8073 | 71.52*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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