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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.18%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Week

27.31%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

27.84%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 169% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0332
15.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8895
172.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0562
12.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0165
3.48***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0269
5.35***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9682
156.59***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days