Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

25.73%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

26.06%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

27.07%

increased by 0.82%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:32 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 169% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 169% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0331
3.96***
βGARCH0.8899
52.05***
γleverage0.0558
3.82***
λ₁tau intercept0.0164
0.89
λ₂forecast adj.0.0268
1.32
λ₃tau persistence0.9683
38.28***

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0331
3.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8899
52.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0558
3.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0164
0.89
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0268
1.32
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9683
38.28***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days