V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
29.51%
increased by 0.77%
1 Week
29.68%
increased by 0.94%
1 Month
30.30%
increased by 1.56%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0244 | 9.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1187 | 31.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9849 | 771.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0346 | -10.08*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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